We only have three weeks (for most teams) of data for the 2023-2024 College Football season, so it does not make sense to try and predict who will make the College Football Playoff…… right?
Wellllll, it is time to give an early prediction for the CFP so here are the 4 teams that I think are most likely to make the CFP.
We all know by now how good Georgia is – they are back to back National Champions.
What we don’t know is how good this version of the Dawgs will be.
There are questions about the offense with a new Quarterback in Carson Beck as well as a new offensive coordinator in Mike Bobo.
Through the first three games Georgia has had some teething issues with the most glaring being down 14-3 at home vs South Carolina.
Naturally, many media pundits are talking about “the end of Georgia” which I think is ludricous.
The Bulldogs had similar struggles against inferior opposition last year, namely Missouri and Kent State so I would suggest not drawing mass conclusions this early in the season.
Personally, I do not think Georgia will three-peat simply because it is so hard to go back to back, and they were only a made Ohio State kick away from losing the semifinals last year.
However, Georgia will absolutely be in the playoff conversation.
They have the superior talent compared to every team they will face, which will likely lead to the Bulldogs getting another playoff birth.
On the whole Michigan is likely the safest pick to make the playoff of any team.
Yes, they will have tough schedule by having to face Penn State and Ohio State, but the experience that the Wolverines have should be invaluable as they try to take the next step on their journey.
They have the best offensive line in the country, a solid quarterback in J.J. McCarthy, a great running game, and a solid defense.
If they can split the two games between Penn State and Ohio State the Wolverines should be in the CFP (assuming they don’t lose to anyone else).
The Noles looked great in their opening game vs LSU and have shown steady progress over the past year under Mike Norvell.
On top of that, if they can get past Clemson this weekend FSU should be a good sized favorite in every game they play the rest of the way.
Obviously the issue from there would be complacency in an average ACC.
Lastly, it would be interesting to see if FSU would get into the playoff if they had only one loss.
Their resumé is boosted by that opening win over LSU, and there is the chance for a couple other semi-marquee wins, but the Seminoles likely have the smallest margin for error of any team on this list.
This final spot is tough.
Ohio State and Penn State will be right up there along with at least one other SEC team and likely one PAC 12 team.
The reason I have gone for USC is because they were nearly in the playoff a year ago and they have the best player in the country in Caleb Williams.
Their defense does have question marks, but they will not have a resumé problem with how strong the PAC 12 is, and I think last years experience will help propel them to the top 4.
The teams who just missed out are Ohio State and Penn State.
I think Ohio State’s new QB will likely cost them, and I do not see them winning in Michigan this year, which means they would have to be perfect in every other game.
For Penn State, I think the two big teams of Michigan and Ohio State will prove too much to handle and they will just miss out.