Week 9 CFB Preview

October 28, 2022 Uncategorized Comments Off on Week 9 CFB Preview

19 Kentucky @ 3 Tennessee

The marquee primetime matchup of the weekend features #19 Kentucky (5-2) @ #3 Tennessee
(7-0). Tennessee is as hot as any team in the country right now with their victory over Alabama
two weeks ago being the highlight of their season so far. Kentucky comes in fresh after
defeating Mississippi State two weeks ago and then having a bye week last week. The main
theme of the game will be the pace level – Kentucky plays at one of the slowest speeds in the
country, while Tennessee plays at one of the fastest (and is also one of the top 2 offenses in the
country). If Kentucky can control the time of possession, then that puts the odds in their favor
to keep the game close. Furthermore, red zone efficiency will be huge in this game. If
Tennessee is scoring touchdowns on every red zone trip, then it will be a long night for the
Wildcats. If Kentucky can be efficient in the red zone AND can hold Tennessee to field goals or
force turnovers, then Kentucky will have a chance to keep the game close. Ultimately, I like
the Cats to cover +12 because I believe Kentucky will control the time of possession.

2 Ohio State @ 13 Penn State

The highlight of the noon slate features #2 Ohio State (7-0) @ #13 Penn State (6-1) in what is a
huge matchup for both programs. Ohio State comes in looking like potentially the best team in
the country, but they are yet to play any teams of note. Penn State comes in off of a blowout
win against Minnesota after getting blown out themselves against Michigan two weeks ago.
Penn State looked bad on the road against Michigan, who is of similar caliber to Ohio State, so
it’s tough to see how Penn State can hang with the Buckeyes. The Nittany Lions do get this
game at home, which will be a big advantage as Beaver Stadium is one of the best
environments in college football. I do like the Buckeyes to win, but I believe in Penn State
enough to take the Nittany Lions at +15.

Florida vs 1 Georgia

Oh, how the times have changed. A decade ago Florida was THE team in college football with
Tim Tebow and company wrecking almost every team they faced on their way to national
dominance. Now the reigning National Champion and #1 Georgia Bulldogs are a 22.5 point
favorite against the Gators. This year’s Georgia has not been as dominant as last year’s version of the dawgs (see the Georgia vs Missouri game for reference). Of course, Florida has been all over the place as well. The question then becomes which versions of both teams will show up? Will Florida be able to play good enough defense while also getting great Quarterback play out of Anthony Richardson? Will Georgia play suffocating defense like we saw last year? Will Stetson Bennett be an efficient passer while riding the Georgia running game? I am siding with the Gators to cover at +22.5. Georgia could be great in this game, but Anthony Richardson has the ability to make something out of nothing. Those types of plays will go a long way in keeping the Gators in the game enough to cover the spread.

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