MNF Gut Feeling Bets — Week 5

October 10, 2022 Uncategorized Comments Off on MNF Gut Feeling Bets — Week 5

Happy Monday to all!

Hoping everyone’s parlays hit, your favorite team won, and that your fantasy matchup is working out.

Monday’s are always the saddest part of the week since we have to wait till Thursday for more football. Not that last TNF matchup between IND and DEN could get worst, but we get CHI and WAS this Thursday. Surely it can’t get worse.

Anyways, enough negativity.

Let’s look at my favorite bets for tonight’s game between KC and LV.

Remember, these are not system picks, but these are gut picks. Keep in mind, I went 1/3 last time I did this so feel free to fade me.

(I did go 5/6 on my parlay yesterday… Thanks DET…)

Okay, so I like KC -7. Raiders have been disappointing this season and KC has been very good. Surprisingly, KC’s defense has been impressive.

Vegas on average gives up the 9th most passing yards per game against arguably the best QB in the league.

What’s interesting is KC gives up the 6th most passing yards per game at 263.8 on average.

Both these stats made me pick the over tonight.

So being the degenerate I am, I’m gonna parlay KC -7 and the over at 52.

Per PFF, Chiefs rank 17th in pass rush and 10th overall in defensive grade.

Raiders rank 25th in coverage and 4th worst in defensive EPA per pass.

I also have the over on Patrick Mahomes throwing 283.5 yards

Some other player props I placed was Adams having two touchdowns tonight. He leads the NFL in red zone targets.

Hopefully Carr can do something tonight.

I also have Kelce as my first TD score tonight. He is second behind Adams in red zone targets and I just got that feeling!

To recap:

KC -7

KC -7 & over 52

Mahomes over 283.5 yards

Adams to score two more TD’s

Kelce first touchdown scorer.

So anyways, I am betting on a KC win and a great game tonight.

We’ll see folks!

Enjoy your football tonight!

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