Good afternoon folks!
Tough beat yesterday on the Bulls Nets game.
I went 1/2 taking KD’s over and the Nets to cover.
Nets led nearly the whole game until the fourth quarter.
Time to move on and get ready for the slate tonight.
Here are my gut-feeling bets for tonight!
Trae Young UNDER 29.5 PTS
This is a contrarian play here, but let’s look at some stats.
Trae, on the season, is averaging 29 points a game. Pretty solid, but not over 29.5.
Tonight, he’ll be matched up against Jalen Brunson. The last two times he played against Brunson, Trae went for 19 and 17 points.
In fact, Trae Young has never even scored more than 25 points against Brunson.
I expect Trae Young to dish the ball off to Dejounte Murray often tonight.
Julius Randle OVER 19.5 PTS
The Hawks have not guarded the power forward position well this season.
In the last four games, the Hawks are giving up exactly 30 points a game to this position.
Tonight, Randle will be matched up against John Collins and Randle has had his way with him since entering the league. Randle is averaging 26.5 points against Collins.
Since 2020, Randle has averaged over 29 points a game against the Hawks.
20 or more points feels solid since Randle has had over 20 points 75% of the time against Collins over 12 games.
Last Bet of the night:
Luka Doncic to have +30 points, +10 rebounds, and +7 assists. +275
Luka, on the year, averages 36.7 points a game, 9.5 rebounds a game, and 8.7 assists a game.
Luka has played well against Jordan Clarkson in his career.
In their last three games, Luka is averaging 30 points a game, 11 rebounds a game, and 7.6 assists a game against Clarkson.
The Jazz have also given up the 6th most points to a point guard so far this season.
Luka is playing at an MVP level this season and to get plus odds on a stat line like that doesn’t feel far-fetched.
That’s a wrap for tonight’s gut-feeling prop bets.
There were no system picks for tonight’s game, sorry guys.
Enjoy your night and looking forward to some NFL and NBA tomorrow night!
(Not an analyst)